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Data Analysis and Probability

Explorations with Chance

9-12
In this lesson, students analyze the fairness of certain games by examining the probabilities of the outcomes. The explorations provide opportunities to predict results, play the games, and calculate probabilities. Students should have had prior experiences with simple probability investigations, including flipping coins, drawing items from a set, and making tree diagrams. They should understand that the probability of an event is the ratio of the number of successful outcomes to the number of possible outcomes. This lesson was adapted from "Activities: Explorations with Chance," which appeared in the April 1992 issue of the Mathematics Teacher. 
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Data Analysis and Probability

Exploring Linear Data

6-8, 9-12
Students model linear data in a variety of settings that range from car repair costs to sports to medicine. Students work to construct scatterplots, interpret data points and trends, and investigate the notion of line of best fit.
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Data Analysis and Probability

Birthday Paradox

6-8, 9-12
This activity demonstrates the Birthday Paradox, using it as a springboard into a unit on probability. Students use a graphing calculator to run a Monte Carlo simulation with the birthday paradox and perform a graphical analysis of the birthday-problem function. This lesson was adapted from an article, written by Matthew Whitney, which appeared in the April 2001 edition of Mathematics Teacher.
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Data Analysis and Probability

Shrinking Candles, Running Water, Folding Boxes

9-12
This activity allows students to look for functions within a given set of data. After analyzing the data, the student should be able to determine a type of function that represents the data. This lesson plan is adapted from an article by Jill Stevens that originally appeared in the September 1993 issue of the Mathematics Teacher.
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Data Analysis and Probability

Stick or Switch?

6-8, 9-12
This lesson plan presents a classic game-show scenario. A student picks one of three doors in the hopes of winning the prize. The host, who knows the door behind which the prize is hidden, opens one of the two remaining doors. When no prize is revealed, the host asks if the student wishes to "stick or switch." Which choice gives you the best chance to win? The approach in this activity runs from guesses to experiments to computer simulations to theoretical models. This lesson was adapted from an article written by J. Michael Shaughnessy and Thomas Dick, which appeared in the April 1991 issue of the Mathematics Teacher.
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Data Analysis and Probability

Traveling Distances

9-12
In this lesson, students interpret the meaning of the slope and y-intercept of the graph of real-life data. By examining the graphical representation of the data, students relate the slope and y-intercept of the least squares regression line to the real-life data. They also interpret the correlation coefficient of the resulting least squares regression line.
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Data Analysis and Probability

Bathtub Water Levels

9-12
This lesson is similar to Lesson One: Traveling Distances; however, this lesson is designed so students examine real-life data that illustrates a negative slope. Students interpret the meaning of the negative slope and y-intercept of the graph of the real-life data. By examining the graphical representation of the data, students relate the slope and y-intercept of the least squares regression line to the real-life data. They also interpret the correlation coefficient of the least squares regression line.
Data Analysis and Probability

My Graph Is…

9-12
This lesson is designed to allow students to select their own real-life data to plot and interpret. Interpreting the meaning of the slope and y-intercept of their least squares regression lines will help reinforce the concepts introduced in Lessons One and Two of this Unit Plan. The students are then given the opportunity to display their work.
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Data Analysis and Probability

Gallery Walk

9-12
This lesson is designed to allow students to view the work of other students in the class and to explain their own work. Some teachers may be tempted to skip this step in the Unit Plan, but it is very important that students be given the opportunity to verbalize what the mathematics means that they performed in Lesson Three.
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Data Analysis and Probability

Automobile Mileage: Year vs. Mileage

9-12
In this lesson, students plot data about automobile mileage and interpret the meaning of the slope and y-intercept in the resulting equation for the least squares regression line. By examining the graphical representation of the data, students analyze the meaning of the slope and y-intercept of the line and interpret them in the context of the real-life application. Students also make decisions about the age and mileage of automobiles based on the equation of the least squares regression line.